Nikkei Futures

Markets in the Asia-Pacific region experienced a general decline on Friday, reflecting the tumultuous trading activity observed on Wall Street the previous night. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, coupled with interruptions in energy supply, continues to create unease among investors. On Thursday, Iran launched an attack on the world’s largest gas plant in Qatar, resulting in significant damage to the energy supply that is expected to persist for several years. This action is viewed as a retaliation against Israel’s strikes on its South Pars gas field. According to QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi, the Iranian attacks have resulted in a significant reduction of 17% in the nation’s LNG export capacity, with this impact expected to last for a duration of three to five years. The reciprocal assaults on critical oil and gas infrastructures throughout the Middle East have resulted in a significant increase in energy prices. U.S. natural gas prices experienced an increase of 1.5%, currently trading at $3.112 per million British thermal units. Front-month Nymex RBOB gasoline for April delivery increased by nearly 1% to $3.13, reaching a level not seen in almost four years. Oil prices experienced a decline, with the international benchmark Brent crude futures falling by 2% to $106.45 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures experienced a decline of 1.56%, settling at $94.64.

Saudi Arabia, a leading oil producer globally, anticipates that prices could exceed $180 a barrel should the supply disruption continue until late April, according to reports, referencing statements from officials in the country. The market repercussions stemming from the regional conflict have similarly impacted metals, with gold and silver experiencing declines of approximately 5% and 10%, respectively, prior to recovering some of those losses. “The recent drop in gold spot price on high volume suggests panic selling,” Ed Yardeni noted on Friday, anticipating a bottom in the recent sell-off soon. In an attempt to alleviate apprehensions, U.S. President Donald Trump affirmed that ground troops would not be deployed, while Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated that Israel would avoid further assaults on Iranian energy installations. Countries aligned with the U.S., such as Britain, Canada, France, Germany, and Japan, have released a joint statement indicating their “readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait” of Hormuz. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 concluded the trading session with a decline of 0.82%, settling at 8,4284.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index experienced a decline of over 1% during the final hour of trading, while the mainland China’s CSI 300 index reversed its earlier gains, ultimately closing 0.35% lower at 4,567. The Hang Seng tech index experienced a decline of 2.6%, primarily influenced by Xiaomi Corp, which saw a drop exceeding 7%. The sell-off occurred following the company’s introduction of an updated electric vehicle model and its announcement of plans to allocate more than $8.7 billion towards artificial intelligence development over the forthcoming three years. China’s central bank maintained its benchmark lending rates for the tenth consecutive month on Monday, with the five-year loan prime rate at 3.5% and the one-year rate at 3%. South Korea’s blue-chip Kospi stood out, increasing by 0.31% to conclude the session at 5,781.2, while the small-cap Kosdaq experienced a gain of 1.58%, reaching 1,161.52. Japan’s markets observed a closure due to a public holiday.

Overnight on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a decrease of 0.44%, settling at 46,021.43 points. The S&P 500 declined by 0.27%, concluding the session at 6,606.49 points, whereas the Nasdaq Composite experienced a decrease of 0.28%, finishing at 22,090.69. Futures associated with the 30-stock index experienced an increase of 111 points, representing a rise of 0.2%. S&P 500 futures increased by approximately 0.3%, while Nasdaq-100 futures rose by 0.2%, following a decline on Wall Street overnight. The Federal Reserve maintained the interest rate at its current level earlier this week, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing that the economic outlook is fraught with uncertainty amid ongoing hostilities in the Middle East.